I have nothing bad to say about Blackburn at home. 6-4-2 is as good as Aston Villa’s home form.
Yet again, the 0-4-8 on the road for Hull a little misleading and cannot be taken on face value. Yes, they did use to suck on the rod, earning just one point from their 1st 6 games, but then they are 0-3-3 from their last 6 on the road, and you can’t blame them for losing to Aston Villa, Arsenal or Man Utd, while it certainly is good enough to earn draws from such tough places to visit like Esatlands, The Reebok or White Hart Lane.
Having lost only once in their last 6 EPL games, Hull certainly look promising to maintain their top tier status for another season, and a point today vs Blackburn would keep the Tigers happy.
Rovers did manage to beta Hull away last season, but at home they only managed a draw. This season’s reverse fixture also ended in a draw, and –once again- I have to say the odds look a little bit miscalculated by the bookies. Blackburn ARE favourites alright, but certainly not odds on. I would say the home win is worth closer to 2.20 IMHO, so 1.90 is too short for me to use.
I would be surprised if Hull won though. It’s not like you can walk into Ewood Park and walk away with 3 points that easy. Only Spurs and Man City did it this season, while Liverpool were held to a goalless draw. Rovers are yet to host any of the top 3 though, so let’s see if they can maintain their home form by the end of the season.
Suffice it to say that I am forced to back the draw here. Not that I think it’s the most likely outcome, but there’s certainly more value in the 3.60 on the draw than there is on the 1.90 on the home win.
Also, Amr Zaki to score anytime as a side bet. It’s about time the Egyptian striker found his way to the back of the net, and Blackburn defense is easier to penetrate than those of Chelsea or Man City, especial with Samba amiss.
Picks:
Draw @ 3.60 w/ Pinnacle
Zaki score anytime @ 5.80 w/ Betfair
